{"authors":[{"id":"orcid_______::c169d6ebebe1694346d85f8e418959f9","fullName":"Raffaele Rea","name":"Raffaele","surname":"Rea","rank":1,"pid":{"id":{"scheme":"orcid","value":"0009-0001-6820-7898"},"provenance":null}},{"id":null,"fullName":"Simona Colombelli","name":"Simona","surname":"Colombelli","rank":2,"pid":{"id":{"scheme":"orcid_pending","value":"0000-0002-5946-0795"},"provenance":null}},{"id":"orcid_______::bdb15a495bbbff24650eab9490c12d93","fullName":"Luca Elia","name":"Luca","surname":"Elia","rank":3,"pid":{"id":{"scheme":"orcid","value":"0000-0002-4553-2380"},"provenance":null}},{"id":"orcid_______::2b9f5440b01bd1158c059b9871b332b7","fullName":"Aldo Zollo","name":"Aldo","surname":"Zollo","rank":4,"pid":{"id":{"scheme":"orcid","value":"0000-0002-8191-9566"},"provenance":null}}],"openAccessColor":"gold","publiclyFunded":false,"eoscIfGuidelines":null,"type":"publication","language":{"code":"eng","label":"English"},"countries":[{"code":"IT","label":"Italy","provenance":null}],"subjects":[{"subject":{"scheme":"keyword","value":"Environmental sciences"},"provenance":null},{"subject":{"scheme":"keyword","value":"QE1-996.5"},"provenance":null},{"subject":{"scheme":"keyword","value":"Geology"},"provenance":null},{"subject":{"scheme":"keyword","value":"GE1-350"},"provenance":null},{"subject":{"scheme":"FOS","value":"01 natural sciences"},"provenance":null},{"subject":{"scheme":"FOS","value":"0105 earth and related environmental sciences"},"provenance":null}],"mainTitle":"Retrospective performance analysis of a ground shaking early warning system for the 2023 Turkey–Syria earthquake","subTitle":null,"descriptions":["<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>                   <jats:p>                     Recently developed earthquake early warning systems rely on the idea of combining the measured ground motion and the source parameter estimate to issue an alert based on the ground shaking prediction at sites where high potential damage is expected. Here we apply a P-wave, shaking-forecast method that can track and alert in real-time the area where peak ground motion is expected to exceed a user-set threshold during the earthquake. The system performance in providing a fast and reliable warning during the Mw 7.8, February 6 Turkey–Syria earthquake is investigated by the real-time simulated playback of the near-source hundred accelerograms. With an instrumental intensity threshold                     <jats:inline-formula>                       <jats:alternatives>                         <jats:tex-math>$${I}_{{MM}}={IV}$$</jats:tex-math>                         <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\">                           <mml:msub>                             <mml:mrow>                               <mml:mi>I</mml:mi>                             </mml:mrow>                             <mml:mrow>                               <mml:mi>M</mml:mi>                               <mml:mi>M</mml:mi>                             </mml:mrow>                           </mml:msub>                           <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>                           <mml:mi>I</mml:mi>                           <mml:mi>V</mml:mi>                         </mml:math>                       </jats:alternatives>                     </jats:inline-formula>                     an alert issued 10–20 s after the event origin, results in 95% of successful warning (positive and negative) and lead-times of 10–60 s within the potential damage zone. Setting a higher intensity threshold requires larger alert times (50–60 s) to achieve 90% of successful warning and overall shorter lead-times. Our simulation shows that the P-wave predicted, strong-shaking zone can be rapidly detected only 20 s after the mainshock nucleation. As the time increases, it well delineates the NE-SW bi-lateral rupture development as inferred by kinematic source models.                   </jats:p>"],"publicationDate":"2024-06-17","publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","embargoEndDate":null,"sources":["Crossref","Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2024)","Nature-Communications Earth &amp; Environment"],"formats":["application/pdf"],"contributors":null,"coverages":null,"bestAccessRight":{"code":"c_abf2","label":"OPEN","scheme":"http://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/documentation/access_rights/"},"container":{"name":"Communications Earth &amp; Environment","issnPrinted":null,"issnOnline":"2662-4435","issnLinking":null,"ep":null,"iss":null,"sp":null,"vol":"5","edition":null,"conferencePlace":null,"conferenceDate":null},"documentationUrls":null,"codeRepositoryUrl":null,"programmingLanguage":null,"contactPeople":null,"contactGroups":null,"tools":null,"size":null,"version":null,"geoLocations":null,"id":"doi_dedup___::c3535eeef739d334f6639f33b33d5ebb","originalIds":["1507","10.1038/s43247-024-01507-3","50|doiboost____|c3535eeef739d334f6639f33b33d5ebb","oai:doaj.org/article:38383cb559e94e9cbd2a245dc9663b2b","50|doajarticles::4fb2fdeaff32ebf8de57225cf91519cf","50|dris___01076::6a02d72e2d39cecb7f529b59b84d037c","oai:www.iris.unina.it:11588/982430","50|od______3730::6a02d72e2d39cecb7f529b59b84d037c","50|r3c4b2081b22::c3535eeef739d334f6639f33b33d5ebb","50|sygma_______::c3535eeef739d334f6639f33b33d5ebb"],"pids":[{"scheme":"doi","value":"10.1038/s43247-024-01507-3"},{"scheme":"handle","value":"11588/982430"}],"dateOfCollection":null,"lastUpdateTimeStamp":null,"indicators":{"citationImpact":{"citationCount":11.0,"influence":2.5203746E-9,"popularity":9.02978E-9,"impulse":11.0,"citationClass":"C4","influenceClass":"C5","impulseClass":"C4","popularityClass":"C4"}},"projects":[{"id":"corda_____he::a0afb8bfa2ab56c67224e21b965aac69","code":"101121135","acronym":"GOBEYOND","title":"GeO and weather multi-risk impact Based Early warning and response systems supporting rapid deploYment of first respONders in EU and beyonD","funder":"European Commission","pids":[{"scheme":"doi","value":"10.3030/101121135"}]}],"organizations":[{"legalName":"National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology","acronym":"INGV","id":"openorgs____::c0b262bd6eab819e4c994914f9c010e2","pids":[{"scheme":"mag_id","value":"29078338"},{"scheme":"ISNI","value":"0000000123005064"},{"scheme":"ROR","value":"https://ror.org/00qps9a02"},{"scheme":"PIC","value":"999472675"},{"scheme":"Wikidata","value":"Q1674866"},{"scheme":"fundref","value":"501100008034"},{"scheme":"OrgRef","value":"36323327"},{"scheme":"wikidata","value":"Q1674866"},{"scheme":"OrgReg","value":"IT1008"},{"scheme":"FundRef","value":"501100008034"},{"scheme":"GRID","value":"grid.410348.a"}],"countries":[{"code":"IT","label":"Italy"}],"websiteurl":"http://www.ingv.it/en/"},{"legalName":"University Federico II of Naples","acronym":"University Federico II of Naples","id":"openorgs____::eb0669daa9efeb898a3090d8aac7c953","pids":[{"scheme":"Wikidata","value":"Q691851"},{"scheme":"fundref","value":"100009052"},{"scheme":"PIC","value":"999976590"},{"scheme":"FundRef","value":"100009052"},{"scheme":"OrgRef","value":"4932663"},{"scheme":"ROR","value":"https://ror.org/05290cv24"},{"scheme":"GRID","value":"grid.4691.a"},{"scheme":"ISNI","value":"000000010790385X"},{"scheme":"FundRef","value":"100007195"},{"scheme":"OrgReg","value":"IT0045"},{"scheme":"mag_id","value":"71267560"},{"scheme":"fundref","value":"100007195"},{"scheme":"wikidata","value":"Q691851"}],"countries":[{"code":"IT","label":"Italy"}],"websiteurl":"http://www.unina.it/index.jsp"}],"communities":[{"code":"aurora","label":"Aurora Universities Network","provenance":null}],"collectedFrom":[{"key":"openaire____::a8db6f6b2ce4fe72e8b2314a9a93e7d9","value":"Sygma"},{"key":"opendoar____::d8c24ca8f23c562a5600876ca2a550ce","value":"Archivio della ricerca - Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II"},{"key":"driver______::bee53aa31dc2cbb538c10c2b65fa5824","value":"DOAJ"},{"key":"eurocrisdris::2a2cfa6d4b4188dfbaee90f0e2e43a88","value":"FEDOA - IRIS Università degli Studi Napoli Federico II"},{"key":"openaire____::081b82f96300b6a6e3d282bad31cb6e2","value":"Crossref"},{"key":"re3data_____::c4b2081b224be6b3e79d0e5e5556f631","value":"European Union Open Data Portal"}],"instances":[{"pids":[{"scheme":"doi","value":"10.1038/s43247-024-01507-3"}],"license":"CC BY","accessRight":{"code":"c_abf2","label":"OPEN","scheme":"http://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/documentation/access_rights/","openAccessRoute":"gold"},"type":"Article","urls":["https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01507-3"],"publicationDate":"2024-06-17","refereed":"peerReviewed","hostedBy":{"key":"doajarticles::e550b0b28ecf345afd7917c759e95059","value":"Communications Earth &amp; 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